Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived this minute, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 16 March 2026 at 23:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 11th strongest of the 259 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 11 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 3 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Tornado Watch issued March 16 at 10:58AM EDT until March 16 at 7:00PM EDT by NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC
An estimated 4,615,467 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 11 March 2026
- September 4, 2026 · score 46 · 0.0 km
- September 3, 2026 · score 46 · 0.0 km
- September 2, 2026 · score 46 · 0.0 km
How we know
Confirmed by 2 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 64 out of 100, at 84 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | High |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 64 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 84% |
| Coordinates | 39.0000, -76.6000 |
| Nearest City | Parole (6 km) |
| Population Exposed | 4.6M within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | severe |
| Timestamp | 2026-03-16T14:58:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Tornado Watch_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.07af7320ecc81daf80460b7911e58540 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Tornado Watch |
| Urgency | Future |
| Certainty | Possible |
| AreaDesc | Chesapeake Bay north of Pooles Island MD; Chesapeake Bay from Pooles Island to Sandy Point MD; Chesapeake Bay from Sandy Point to North Beach MD; Chesapeake Bay from North Beach to Drum Point MD; Chesapeake Bay from Drum Point MD to Smith Point VA; Tidal Potomac from Key Bridge to Indian Head MD; Tidal Potomac from Indian Head to Cobb Island MD; Tidal Potomac from Cobb Island MD to Smith Point VA; Patapsco River including Baltimore Harbor; Chester River to Queenstown MD; Eastern Bay; Choptank River to Cambridge MD and the Little Choptank River; Patuxent River to Broomes Island MD; Tangier Sound and the inland waters surrounding Bloodsworth Island; District of Columbia, DC; Anne Arundel, MD; Baltimore, MD; Calvert, MD; Carroll, MD; Cecil, MD; Charles, MD; Frederick, MD; Harford, MD; Howard, MD; Montgomery, MD; Prince Georges, MD; St. Marys, MD; Washington, MD; Baltimore City, MD; Arlington, VA; Clarke, VA; Culpeper, VA; Fairfax, VA; Fauquier, VA; Frederick, VA; King George, VA; Loudoun, VA; Orange, VA; Prince William, VA; Rappahannock, VA; Spotsylvania, VA; Stafford, VA; Warren, VA; City of Alexandria, VA; City of Fairfax, VA; City of Falls Church, VA; City of Fredericksburg, VA; City of Manassas, VA; City of Manassas Park, VA; City of Winchester, VA; Berkeley, WV; Jefferson, WV; Morgan, WV; Dorchester, MD; Somerset, MD; Wicomico, MD; Worcester, MD; Bertie, NC; Camden, NC; Chowan, NC; Currituck, NC; Gates, NC; Hertford, NC; Northampton, NC; Pasquotank, NC; Perquimans, NC; Accomack, VA; Amelia, VA; Brunswick, VA; Caroline, VA; Charles City, VA; Chesterfield, VA; Cumberland, VA; Dinwiddie, VA; Essex, VA; Fluvanna, VA; Gloucester, VA; Goochland, VA; Greensville, VA; Hanover, VA; Henrico, VA; Isle of Wight, VA; James City, VA; King and Queen, VA; King William, VA; Lancaster, VA; Louisa, VA; Lunenburg, VA; Mathews, VA; Mecklenburg, VA; Middlesex, VA; New Kent, VA; Northampton, VA; Northumberland, VA; Nottoway, VA; Powhatan, VA; Prince Edward, VA; Prince George, VA; Richmond, VA; Southampton, VA; Surry, VA; Sussex, VA; Westmoreland, VA; York, VA; City of Chesapeake, VA; City of Colonial Heights, VA; City of Emporia, VA; City of Franklin, VA; City of Hampton, VA; City of Hopewell, VA; City of Newport News, VA; City of Norfolk, VA; City of Petersburg, VA; City of Poquoson, VA; City of Portsmouth, VA; City of Richmond, VA; City of Suffolk, VA; City of Virginia Beach, VA; City of Williamsburg, VA |
| Headline | Tornado Watch issued March 16 at 10:58AM EDT until March 16 at 7:00PM EDT by NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC |
| Expires | 2026-03-16T19:00:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC |
| HasExactCoords | false |
| MergedCount | 3 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.07af7320ecc81daf80460b7911e58540eff59ba8.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.07af7320ecc81daf80460b7911e58540eff59ba8.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.5d3131305280ecf1b3c1d5a55c381b8c824ef1f9.001.1"] |
| Google News RssFeed | weather |
| Google News SourceName | NBC4 Washington |
| MergedSources | [{"id":"gnews_weather_492681_124","source":"google_news","severity":"medium","severityValue":40,"timestamp":1773652287000,"latitude":38.9,"longitude":-77.04}] |
Safety Information
If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens near Parole?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 64/100, near Parole (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.